February 22, 2017 Scott LaFoy—
With its latest missile test, DPRK is sending the message that it is moving towards a domestically-produced survivable second strike capability, something that would contribute towards a credible North Korean deterrent against its neighbors and opponents.
August 18, 2016 Beyond Parallel—
A new study by Beyond Parallel shows that annual US-ROK military exercises do not provoke North Korea... A new study by Beyond Parallel shows that annual U.S.-ROK military exercises – such as Ulchi Freedom Guardian which commence next week – do not provoke North Korea. The study’s findings demonstrate that these summer/fall…
August 7, 2016 Beyond Parallel—
CSIS Beyond Parallel datasets offer a unique collection of original databases on diplomacy, military exercises, deterrence, trade, and finance related to Korean unification. Through a comparison of datasets important insights can be gained about the relationship between events. This timeline provides a comparison of two different datasets collected by CSIS.…
June 30, 2016 Victor Cha—
Small-scale kinetic military conflicts and provocations that escalate quickly into a larger conflict could draw countries into a major war. The more we understand the relationship between North Korean provocations and U.S.-ROK military exercises, the more accurately we can determine the redlines for military action and regional conflict escalation.
May 27, 2016 Beyond Parallel—
To critically test this proposition, Beyond Parallel gathered data on the relationship between the United States-Republic of Korea (ROK) military exercises and North Korean provocations. The scope of our qualitative study was the past 12 years of annual U.S.-ROK spring military exercises (2005–2016).