July 4, 2017, by Beyond Parallel—
North Korea launched a land-based, intermediate range ballistic missile from North Pyongan province that flew for 37 minutes and 933 km (580 miles) in the morning of July 4. CSIS Beyond Parallel data analytics finds a two-week provocation window under Kim Jong-un after U.S.-ROK summits. We should expect more provocations to come.
May 12, 2017, by Marie DuMond—
A Predata-CSIS Beyond Parallel May 12 prediction indicates there is a 69% likelihood of North Korean weapons of mass destruction (WMD) activity taking place in the next 14 days. In the next 30 days, there is an 85% chance for North Korean WMD activity. Beyond Parallel defines WMD activity as nuclear tests and missile launches.
April 18, 2017, by Victor Cha—
To study the relationship between North Korean provocations and South Korean elections, Beyond Parallel created a new database of events incorporating both presidential and national assembly elections from the Republic of Korea (ROK) over the last six decades.
April 13, 2017, by Marie DuMond—
A Predata-CSIS Beyond Parallel April 13 prediction indicates there is a 58% likelihood of North Korean WMD activity taking place in the next 14 days. In the next 30 days, there is an 84% chance for North Korean WMD activity. Beyond Parallel defines WMD activity as nuclear tests and missile launches.
April 10, 2017, by Beyond Parallel—
To study the relationship between North Korean provocations and South Korean elections, Beyond Parallel created a new database of events incorporating both presidential and national assembly elections from the Republic of Korea (ROK) over the last six decades.
April 5, 2017, by Marie DuMond—
Beyond Parallel datasets and big data analytics powered by Predata indicate we can expect more North Korean missiles throughout April. Last month bore that prediction out already with four ballistic missiles launched simultaneously on March 6, one failed ballistic missile launch on March 22, and two additional rocket/missile engine tests. In its latest action, on April 5, North Korea fired a ballistic missile from a location near the city of Sinpo which flew approximately 37 miles into the sea east of the Korean peninsula.
April 3, 2017, by Beyond Parallel—
Explore information on the first of these original datasets, North Korean provocations and U.S.-ROK military exercises, below. For further explanation of the relationship between provocations and exercises click here. [wpdatatable id=2]
April 3, 2017, by Beyond Parallel—
Beyond Parallel conducted a new study looking at whether there are patterns to North Korean behavior around U.S. elections. To carry out this study we created a dataset of U.S. election events, incorporating both presidential and congressional midterm election years, and cross-tabulated this information with our original dataset on North…
March 9, 2017, by Marie DuMond—
Predata’s North Korea WMD overview signal captured a notable spike in conversations just two days prior to North Korea’s March 6 missile launches... A Predata-Beyond Parallel prediction indicates there is a 43% chance of North Korean WMD activity…
February 22, 2017, by Scott LaFoy—
With its latest missile test, DPRK is sending the message that it is moving towards a domestically-produced survivable second strike capability, something that would contribute towards a credible North Korean deterrent against its neighbors and opponents.
