May 10, 2017 Victor Cha and Lisa Collins—
Exit polls from the May 9th election in South Korea indicate that Moon Jae-in will be the country’s next president. Moon will enter office after more than six months of domestic political turmoil following the impeachment of former South Korean president Park Geun-hye. Under these circumstances, Moon is likely to face a series of domestic and foreign policy challenges early in his presidential term.
April 18, 2017 Victor Cha—
To study the relationship between North Korean provocations and South Korean elections, Beyond Parallel created a new database of events incorporating both presidential and national assembly elections from the Republic of Korea (ROK) over the last six decades.
March 17, 2017 Andy Lim and Victor Cha—
Beyond Parallel created an original dataset of all high-level visits between the two countries from 1953 to the present to determine whether the number of high level visits over the last six decades could shed light on the current state of the relationship.
February 20, 2017 Victor Cha—
The Chinese government announced that it would halt coal imports from North Korea starting from February 19 to the end of the year... The Chinese Ministry of Commerce and General Administration of Customs announced (statement in Chinese) on February 18 that it would halt coal imports from North...
February 8, 2017 Victor Cha—
A Testimony by Victor Cha before the U.S. House of Representatives Foreign Affairs Committee on February 7, 2017... A Testimony by Dr. Victor Cha before the U.S. House of Representatives Foreign Affairs Committee on February 7, 2017. Chairman Royce, Ranking Member Representative Engel and distinguished Members of the Committee, it is a distinct…
October 7, 2016 Victor Cha—
Over the course of 30 elections since 1956, Beyond Parallel measured the period of time before or after an election in which a North Korean provocation happens and found the provocation window has grown more narrow over time. That is, North Korean missile/nuclear tests and other major kinetic provocations have clustered increasingly closer to U.S. elections.
September 9, 2016 Victor Cha—
North Korean nuclear and missile capabilities are developing faster than world leaders and experts have anticipated.
.. North Korea conducted a fifth nuclear test on September 9, 2016 at the Punggye-ri nuclear testing facility The explosive yield of the test was assessed by experts to be 10 kilotons, higher than any other…
July 6, 2016 Lisa Collins and Victor Cha—
The U.S. Department of State’s “Report on Serious Human Rights Abuses or Censorship in North Korea” submitted to the U.S. Congress today, July 6, 2016 in accordance with North Korea Sanctions and Policy Enhancement Act of 2016 (Public Law 114-112) lists North Korean leader Kim Jong-un as responsible for human rights abuses.
June 30, 2016 Victor Cha—
The division of North and South Korea following World War II was a defining moment not just for the Korean peninsula but for all of Northeast Asia. The strategic environment of the region and the history of the Korean people were drastically changed by the division and subsequent Korean War.
June 30, 2016 Victor Cha—
Small-scale kinetic military conflicts and provocations that escalate quickly into a larger conflict could draw countries into a major war. The more we understand the relationship between North Korean provocations and U.S.-ROK military exercises, the more accurately we can determine the redlines for military action and regional conflict escalation.