February 22, 2017, by Scott LaFoy—
With its latest missile test, DPRK is sending the message that it is moving towards a domestically-produced survivable second strike capability, something that would contribute towards a credible North Korean deterrent against its neighbors and opponents.
October 17, 2016—
Last week marked the 10th anniversary of North Korea’s first nuclear test. Each new nuclear test triggers comparisons with previous tests and predictions about future tests... Last week marked the 10th anniversary of North Korea’s first nuclear test. Each new nuclear…
September 9, 2016, by Victor Cha—
North Korean nuclear and missile capabilities are developing faster than world leaders and experts have anticipated.
.. North Korea conducted a fifth nuclear test on September 9, 2016 at the Punggye-ri nuclear testing facility The explosive yield of the test was assessed by experts to be 10 kilotons, higher than any other…
September 9, 2016, by Jeffrey Lewis—
Yesterday’s nuclear test, the fifth by North Korea since 2006 suggests that North Korea can arm a missile with a nuclear warhead. And that may portend a significant change in how the United States thinks about dealing with North Korea... Yesterday’s nuclear test, the fifth by North Korea since 2006 suggests that North Korea can…
August 18, 2016—
A new study by Beyond Parallel shows that annual US-ROK military exercises do not provoke North Korea... A Beyond Parallel study showsthat annual U.S.-South Korea military exercises – such as Ulchi Freedom Guardian which commence next week – do not provoke North Korea. The study’s findings demonstrate that these summer/fall exercises, like…
August 7, 2016—
CSIS Beyond Parallel datasets offer…
June 30, 2016, by Victor Cha—
Small-scale kinetic military conflicts and provocations that escalate quickly into a larger conflict could draw countries into a major war. The more we understand the relationship between North Korean provocations and U.S.-ROK military exercises, the more accurately we can determine the redlines for military action and regional conflict escalation.
May 27, 2016—
To critically test this proposition, Beyond Parallel gathered data on the relationship between the United States-Republic of Korea (ROK) military exercises and North Korean provocations. The scope of our qualitative study was the past 12 years of annual U.S.-ROK spring military exercises (2005–2016).
